Quote of the Day
Sunday, July 15, 2007
Link: Maybe owning a home is not for everyone.
Mr Brown, who famously sold off the Bank of England's gold at the bottom of that particular market, is now going into property development just as house prices peak. Nice timing, Gordon!
Niall Ferguson, in the Sunday Telegraph.
So, MJW, can house prices rise faster than incomes indefinitely? I would respectfully suggest that there are just as many sub-prime mortgages in the UK as in the US, by the way, they simply haven't been securitized into the hands of specialists and so may escape scrutiny a little longer. If you were restricted to Sky News as I am in Russia, you would have noticed that Carol Vorderman and cohorts have been urging people who should probably be renting to refinance their homes to the hilt for some years.
I am no economic theorist either. I accept that if the housing market were restricted by planning controls to -say- one house, it would command a pretty dramatic price. However at some point, voters will expect the Government to act on the supply constraint issue so that their children are not homeless (or living with Mum and Dad indefinitely). If Brown increases supply as promised and if interest rates rise to constrain demand, does one have to be "an economic theorist of any note" to expect a price adjustment?
Posted by: Tom | Monday, July 16, 2007 at 10:04 AM
Ferguson is a superb historian, but I’m not convinced he’s an economic theorist of any note. The situation with the US subprime mortgage market is very different to the problems that face the UK housing market, for a start the demands on housing in the UK and the restrictions on development, make comparisons little more than academic exercises.
Posted by: MJW | Sunday, July 15, 2007 at 09:43 PM